Bluff Poker Math Made Simple

Poker math can seem very complex, however with some fundamental understanding and practice it can end up being extremely simple.

And even better, if you use poker math properly you can find simple ways to enhance your winrate and become a tougher challenger. In this video I’ll reveal you how to figure out the breakeven percentage of particular plays … and of course why it’ll assist you at the tables!

What exactly is a breakeven %? This is the mathematical way of stating “if X play works this amount it’s breakeven, or 0EV. If it works less then it is -EV and if it works more then it’s +EV”. When we understand the breakeven % essential to run a bluff we can simply use our hand reading abilities to approximate if the bluff will work often enough to make it successful.

poker math
breakeven-poker

Break even mathematics

The good news, if you are a mathematics nerd like me, is that the formula is extremely simple:

breakeven % = risk/ (risk + reward).

Even if you aren’t a mathematics nerd, that’s a pretty simple formula to remember. In poker we are constantly concentrating on risk and reward, even if you’ve never imagined it like this. Every bet you make dangers money, and you are making those bets in order to win the reward … or … what’s in the pot.

One last thing that I want to state here is that you should memorize some of these breakeven percentages. Whether you are playing 1 cent/2 cent online or $10/$ 20 live, the breakeven percentage math never ever alters. If you are wagering half pot the breakeven % will constantly be the same, whether you are betting 15 cents into 30 cents, or $300 into $600. So here are the most typical breakeven %s that you must remember:.

Half Pot = 33% Breakeven.
Full Pot = 50% Breakeven.
2/3 Pot = 40% Breakeven.

Know these portions like the back of your hand since these are roughly the bet sizes we utilize when bluffing.

Without further do let’s hear James Sweeney explain the breakeven %.

How to use pot odds in poker by James “SplitSuit” Sweeney
How to use SPR poker math – what is SPR?

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